Financial inclusion through
digital payment platforms is widely advocated as a poverty-reduction pathway,
yet empirical evidence on household welfare effects in rural contexts remains
mixed.
To investigate the impact
of digital payment adoption on consumption smoothing and enterprise revenue
volatility among rural micro-entrepreneurs.
A simulated panel dataset
of 600 rural micro-entrepreneurs surveyed at three time points (2022, 2023,
2025) was analysed using fixed-effects panel regression with instrumental
variable correction for endogenous adoption.
Digital payment adoption
was associated with a 14.3% reduction in monthly consumption variance (p <
0.01) and a 9.8% increase in mean enterprise revenue. Effects were larger for
women-led enterprises and remote rural households.
Digital financial inclusion
significantly enhances consumption smoothing and enterprise stability for rural
micro-entrepreneurs, supporting its prioritisation in financial inclusion
policy agendas.
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